Abstract

One of the main driving factors for structures’ evaluation is the foundation settlement. Measuring structures’ settlement in field is costly especially when heavy loads are applied. Settlement prediction models can be used to avoid the high cost of settlement field tests. Four advanced heuristic regression methods are developed and applied in this study to estimate raft foundations’ settlement, namely, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), M5 model tree (M5Tree), generalized regression neural networks (GRNN), and support vector regression (SVR) techniques. Simulation of raft pile foundations is utilized to calculate the settlements of piles under the effect of static and dynamic loads. Previous studies are compared with the newly developed models. The results show that the four models can be used to accurately predict foundations’ settlements in the training stage. Also, the results reveal that the MARS and SVR models performed slightly better than the M5Tree and GRNN models in the testing stage and accordingly can be used to predict foundations’ settlement. The SVR model outperformed other models when few numbers of measurements are available.

Highlights

  • Piles foundations are usually used to decrease the settlements of heavy loads structures

  • This study investigates the use of VSR models for the settlement prediction of pile-raft foundations

  • The values of the model’s evaluation parameters R2, route mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) are 0.99, 0.18 cm, and 0.13 cm, respectively; these results indicate that the designed model can be used to predict the settlements

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Summary

Introduction

Piles foundations are usually used to decrease the settlements of heavy loads structures. Monitoring or predicting piles foundations settlement of important structures (e.g., longspan bridges, and skyscrapers) is an essential task to ensure their safety. The soil characteristics, pile geometry, and the loads are the main factors for the settlement of foundations [2,3,4,5]. Principles of pile foundation and settlement analysis are described in [6]. The geometry of raft pile foundations is a common factor for the settlement of piles [5]. The geometry of piles foundation is defined by the length, diameter, number, and distribution of piles [5]. Prediction of raft pile foundations’ settlement is investigated under both static and dynamic loads

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