Abstract

Summer 2019 observations show a rapid resurgence of the Blob-like warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies that produced devastating marine impacts in the Northeast Pacific during winter 2013/2014. Unlike the original Blob, Blob 2.0 peaked in the summer, a season when little is known about the physical drivers of such events. We show that Blob 2.0 primarily results from a prolonged weakening of the North Pacific High-Pressure System. This reduces surface winds and decreases evaporative cooling and wind-driven upper ocean mixing. Warmer ocean conditions then reduce low-cloud fraction, reinforcing the marine heatwave through a positive low-cloud feedback. Using an atmospheric model forced with observed SSTs, we also find that remote SST forcing from the central equatorial and, surprisingly, the subtropical North Pacific Ocean contribute to the weakened North Pacific High. Our multi-faceted analysis sheds light on the physical drivers governing the intensity and longevity of summertime North Pacific marine heatwaves.

Highlights

  • Summer 2019 observations show a rapid resurgence of the Blob-like warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies that produced devastating marine impacts in the Northeast Pacific during winter 2013/2014

  • Recent observational analyses show a rapid resurgence of the Blob-like anomalies that produced devastating marine ecological impacts in the Northeast Pacific during the winter of 2013/ 201436

  • Unlike the original Blob, Blob 2.0 occurred in the summer, a season when relatively little is known about the physical drivers of such events

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Summary

Introduction

Summer 2019 observations show a rapid resurgence of the Blob-like warm sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies that produced devastating marine impacts in the Northeast Pacific during winter 2013/2014. We show that Blob 2.0 primarily results from a prolonged weakening of the North Pacific High-Pressure System This reduces surface winds and decreases evaporative cooling and wind-driven upper ocean mixing. The Blob anomalies spread along the western North American coastline as the result of shifting atmospheric forcing, generating significant coastal warming and unprecedented marine impacts during the summer of 2014 and into winter 2014/20153–5. An anomalous summertime atmospheric ridge would tend to strengthen the background mean circulation (i.e., the surface westerlies) when superposed on the climatological North Pacific High. This would increase surface evaporation and wind-generated upper ocean mixing. We might expect a series of anomalous summertime ridging events to cool the Northeast Pacific Ocean

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