Abstract

BackgroundNatural selection on fitness-related traits can be temporally heterogeneous among populations. As climate changes, understanding population-level responses is of scientific and practical importance. We examined 18 phenotypic traits associated with phenology, biomass, and ecophysiology in 403 individuals of natural Populus trichocarpa populations, growing in a common garden.ResultsCompared with tree origin settings, propagules likely underwent drought exposures in the common garden due to significantly low rainfall during the years of measurement. All study traits showed population differentiation reflecting adaptive responses due to local genetic adaptation. Phenology and biomass traits were strongly under selection and showed plastic responses between years, co-varying with latitude. While phenological events (e.g., bud set and growth period) and biomass were under positive directional selection, post-bud set period, particularly from final bud set to the onset of leaf drop, was selected against. With one exception to water-use efficiency, ecophysiology traits were under negative directional selection. Moreover, extended phenological events jointly evolved with source niches under increased temperature and decreased rainfall exposures. High biomass coevolved with climatic niches of high temperature; low rainfall promoted high photosynthetic rates evolution.ConclusionsThis work underpins that P. trichocarpa is likely to experience increased fitness (height gain) by evolving toward extended bud set and growth period, abbreviated post-bud set period, and increased drought resistance, potentially constituting a powerful mechanism for long-lived tree species in surviving unpredictably environmental extremes (e.g., drought).

Highlights

  • Natural selection on fitness-related traits can be temporally heterogeneous among populations

  • Main results would be reported based on the analysis of 18 traits related with phenology, biomass, and ecophysiology in 403 individuals from 29 natural populations of Populus trichocarpa, measured in a common garden over consecutive years, 2008–2010

  • This study revealed that P. trichocarpa is likely to cope with environmental changes through the evolution of extended bud set and growth period, abbreviated post-bud set period, and increased drought resistance in ecophysiology

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Summary

Introduction

Natural selection on fitness-related traits can be temporally heterogeneous among populations. We examined 18 phenotypic traits associated with phenology, biomass, and ecophysiology in 403 individuals of natural Populus trichocarpa populations, growing in a common garden. One of the essential goals in understanding the impact of climate change on plants is to determine the relative contribution to population persistence made by phenotypic plasticity, phenotypic selection, and the evolution of the plastic response in fitness-related traits. Propagules from natural populations are reared under the same condition; environmental factors associated with population differentiation can be evaluated based on the strength of genetic clines in phenotypes, assuming that average phenotypes vary due to natural selection and reflect local adaptation to environmental gradients [16]. A common-garden experiment permits testing the predictions of adaptation theory (e.g., [17,18,19]) and revealing the genetic differentiation among populations as set by their past environments (e.g., a burgeoning field of genome-wide association studies)

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