Petrol Fiyatlarının Ulaştırma Sektörü Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: Türkiye Hisse Senedi Piyasası Örneği

Abstract

This study examines the impact of crude oil prices on transportation sector stock returns of Turkey. ARDL Bound Test approach is utilized to investigate both long-run and short-run impacts. Research findings show that crude oil prices have an adverse impact on stock returns in short-run since oil is a crucial input for transportation firms. However, in long-run, increasing oil prices enhance stock returns in the sector. This result can be explained by the oligopolistic market structure of the industry. This study also investigated the impact of other factors on stock returns such as macroeconomic activity, aggregate stock market performance, and global economic policy uncertainty. The results imply that transportation sector returns are also highly sensitive to macroeconomic and aggregate stock market performances. Besides its academic contribution to the literature, the findings of this research offer precious practical implications for financial investors, industry stakeholders, and policymakers as well.