Abstract

Introduced species have the potential to become invasive and jeopardize entire ecosystems. The success of species establishing viable populations outside their original extent depends primarily on favorable climatic conditions in the invasive ranges. Species distribution modeling (SDM) can thus be used to estimate potential habitat suitability for populations of invasive species. Here we review the status of six amphibian species with invasive populations in Brazil (four domestic species and two imported species). We (i) modeled the current habitat suitability and future potential distribution of these six focal species, (ii) reported on the disease status of Eleutherodactylus johnstonei and Phyllodytes luteolus, and (iii) quantified the acoustic overlap of P. luteolus and Leptodactylus labyrinthicus with three co-occurring native species. Our models indicated that all six invasive species could potentially expand their ranges in Brazil within the next few decades. In addition, our SDMs predicted important expansions in available habitat for 2 out of 6 invasive species under future (2100) climatic conditions. We detected high acoustic niche overlap between invasive and native amphibian species, underscoring that acoustic interference might reduce mating success in local frogs. Despite the American bullfrog Lithobates catesbeianus being recognized as a potential reservoir for the frog-killing fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) in Brazil, we did not detect Bd in the recently introduced population of E. johnstonei and P. luteolus in the State of São Paulo. We emphasize that the number of invasive amphibian species in Brazil is increasing exponentially, highlighting the urgent need to monitor and control these populations and decrease potential impacts on the locally biodiverse wildlife.

Highlights

  • Invasive species represent a new element within a long-term naturally established biological community [1, 2]

  • Distribution records for all species are in S2 Table and S1 Fig. We found that the reported number of frog species with invasive populations in Brazil is increasing exponentially (Fig 1)

  • Our study indicates that the number of invasive amphibian species in Brazil is increasing exponentially, with at least two of these species potentially expanding their ranges in the near future

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Summary

Introduction

Invasive species represent a new element within a long-term naturally established biological community [1, 2]. This often causes ecological imbalances, as native predators, competitors, or endemic pathogens and parasites may not have a strong negative impact on invasive species. 2), to CGB (#312895/2014-3), to ISO (#161812/ 2011-2), and to LRF (#438675/2016-9). Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES) provided support to ISO (#3855/13-9). AM; Canutama, AM*; Belem, PA; Alter do Chão, PA; Santarem, PA*; Presidente Medici, RO*

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