Abstract

Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score is the basis of the Sepsis-3 criteria and requires arterial blood gas analysis to assess respiratory function. Peripheral oxygen saturation is a noninvasive alternative but is not included in neither Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score nor Sepsis-3. We aimed to assess the association between worst peripheral oxygen saturation during onset of suspected infection and mortality. Cohort study of hospital admissions from a main cohort and emergency department visits from four external validation cohorts between year 2011 and 2018. Data were collected from electronic health records and prospectively by study investigators. Eight academic and community hospitals in Sweden and Canada. Adult patients with suspected infection episodes. None. The main cohort included 19,396 episodes (median age, 67.0 [53.0-77.0]; 9,007 [46.4%] women; 1,044 [5.4%] died). The validation cohorts included 10,586 episodes (range of median age, 61.0-76.0; women 42.1-50.2%; mortality 2.3-13.3%). Peripheral oxygen saturation levels 96-95% were not significantly associated with increased mortality in the main or pooled validation cohorts. At peripheral oxygen saturation 94%, the adjusted odds ratio of death was 1.56 (95% CI, 1.10-2.23) in the main cohort and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.00-1.85) in the pooled validation cohorts and increased gradually below this level. Respiratory assessment using peripheral oxygen saturation 94-91% and less than 91% to generate 1 and 2 Sequential Organ Failure Assessment points, respectively, improved the discrimination of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score from area under the receiver operating characteristics 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74-0.77) to 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.80; p < 0.001). Peripheral oxygen saturation/Fio2 ratio had slightly better predictive performance compared with peripheral oxygen saturation alone, but the clinical impact was minor. These findings provide evidence for assessing respiratory function with peripheral oxygen saturation in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and the Sepsis-3 criteria. Our data support using peripheral oxygen saturation thresholds 94% and 90% to get 1 and 2 Sequential Organ Failure Assessment respiratory points, respectively. This has important implications primarily for emergency practice, rapid response teams, surveillance, research, and resource-limited settings.

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