Performance Stagnation of Meteorological Data of Kashmir

Abstract

AbstractRainfall prediction is the highest research priority in flood-prone areas across the world. This work assesses the abilities of the Decision Tree (DT), Distributed Decision Tree (DDT), Naïve Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbour (KNN), and Fuzzy Logic Decision Tree (FDTs) machine learning algorithms for the rainfall prediction across the Kashmir province of the Union Territory of Jammu & Kashmir. On application of Machine learning algorithms on geographical datasets gave performance accuracy varying from (78.61–81.53)%. Further again machine learning algorithms were reapplied on the dataset without season variable yet again performance ranged in between (77.5–81)%. Vigorous analysis has established that these machine learning models are robust and our study has established that the dataset reaches performance stagnation and thus resulting in performance capping. The stagnation is irrespective of the choice of algorithm and the performance shall not improvise beyond a specific value irrespective of the choice of the machine learning algorithm.KeywordsDecision treeGeographical dataRandom forestNaïve BayesDistribute decision tree