Performance Persistence of Indian Fund of Mutual Funds: With Special Reference to Bull and Bear Market

Abstract

This paper examines the performance persistence of Indian Fund of Mutual Funds (FoFs) during the period from January 2nd 2007 to December 31st 2010. The entire study period classified into three sub-periods based on the movement of BSE 500 index closing value and they are named as First Bull Market Period, Bear Market Period and Second Bull Market Period. The performance of individual FoFs in each sub-period are assessed by employing the performance measures of average excess return, Sharpe ratio and Jensen’s alpha. After testing the performance of the sample funds, contingence table is created by classifying the sample funds as winner or loser. Malkiel Z-test, Brown and Goetzmann Z-test and Khan and Rude Chi-square test is used to test the performance persistence of sample funds and found that the fund excel in the bull market do not expect to do well in the bear market. This study also concluded that the investors cannot earn above average risk adjusted return in the bull market period by hiring the above median performer of earlier bull market period.