Abstract

Production of rice plants is affected by pest attacks. This study aimed to (i) analyze the trend of rice production and pest in Riau Province over the past 10 years, (ii) to predict the trend of pests and rice production of Riau Province for the next 5 years, and (iii) to formulate policy alternatives in order to increase rice production and pest attack control in Riau Province. Secondary data covering production data and paddy pests were obtained from related institutions. For validation and completion of some secondary data, the primary data was collected from direct observation and various competent sources. The data were analyzed in tabulative, regression and simple descriptive to answer the research objectives. The results showed that there has been a decline in rice production in Riau Province for the last 5 years was quite high (23.0%). The decline in production is mainly due to a decrease in harvested area. The decline in production is also caused by pest attacks. The type and extent of rice pest attack show a fluctuating trend. There are 8 types of pests causing rice crop failure (puso), namely bird, rice bug, golden apple snail, stem borer, brown spot disease, blast, and bacteria leaf blight. The total area of rice pests attack by category of puso 161.4 ha. In the next 5 years, Riau rice production is predicted to increase every year while pest attack will decrease every year. Rice production can be increased through increasing harvested area, reducing land conversion, water availability. While pest attack can be suppressed through the use of resistant varieties, early detection, simultaneous control, and intensify counseling.

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