Performance of Doppler ultrasonography as a screening test in low risk pregnancies: results of a multicentric study.

Abstract

To assess the efficacy of the Doppler velocimetry of the uterine and umbilical arteries as a screening test for preeclampsia and fetal growth retardation, we studied 916 low risk pregnancies. The S/D ratios of the uterine and umbilical arteries were obtained at 19 to 24 weeks and at 26 to 31 weeks of gestational age. Mean values, receiver operator curves, and the diagnostic accuracy of the tests were calculated for the following end-points: (1) pregnancy-induced hypertension, (2) low birth weight for gestational age, (3) small for gestational age with abnormal outcome, (4) pregnancy-induced hypertension needing preterm delivery. The prevalences for these outcomes were 3.4%, 4.6%, 1%, and 0.7%, respectively. The study was blinded. The umbilical and uterine artery S/D ratios were significantly higher in the abnormal than in the normal outcome group. When uterine arteries were studied at 19 to 24 weeks, sensitivity was 59% in the detection of pregnancy-induced hypertension, 11% in the detection of small for gestational age fetuses, 33% in the detection of small for gestational age fetuses with abnormal outcome, and 83% in the detection of pregnancy induced hypertension needing preterm delivery; the corresponding values for specificity were 69%, 94%, 94%, and 68%. At 26 to 31 weeks the sensitivity values were respectively, 69%, 58%, 75%, and 100% and specificity values were 80%, 59%, 39%, and 79%. When umbilical arteries were studied at 19 to 24 weeks, sensitivity was 38% in the detection of pregnancy-induced hypertension, 46% in the detection of small for gestational age fetuses, 78% in the detection of small for gestational age fetuses with abnormal outcome, and 67% in the detection of pregnancy-induced hypertension needing preterm delivery. The corresponding values of specificity were 74% for all four groups. At 26 to 31 weeks the sensitivity values were 38%, 43%, 87%, and 67%, respectively, and specificity values were 80% for all four groups. We concluded that Doppler examinations of the uterine and umbilical arteries can detect, at midpregnancy, the severe forms of pregnancy-induced hypertension and small for gestational age fetuses but they cannot be used to screen a low risk population in which the prevalence of the disease is low, and hence the positive predictive value is low.