Abstract

BackgroundChest pain is a common symptom in urgent primary care. The distinction between urgent and non-urgent causes can be challenging. A modified version of the HEART score, in which troponin is omitted (‘simplified HEART’) or replaced by the so-called ‘sense of alarm’ (HEART-GP), may aid in risk stratification.MethodThis study involved a retrospective, observational cohort of consecutive patients evaluated for chest pain at a large-scale, out-of-hours, regional primary care facility in the Netherlands, with 6‑week follow-up for major adverse cardiac events (MACEs). The outcome of interest is diagnostic accuracy, including positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV).ResultsWe included 664 patients; MACEs occurred in 4.8% (n = 32). For simplified HEART and HEART-GP, we found C‑statistics of 0.86 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80–0.91) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.85–0.95), respectively. Optimal diagnostic accuracy was found for a simplified HEART score ≥2 (PPV 9%, NPV 99.7%), HEART-GP score ≥3 (PPV 11%, NPV 99.7%) and HEART-GP score ≥4 (PPV 16%, NPV 99.4%). Physicians referred 157 patients (23.6%) and missed 6 MACEs. A simplified HEART score ≥2 would have picked up 5 cases, at the expense of 332 referrals (50.0%, p < 0.001). A HEART-GP score of ≥3 and ≥4 would have detected 5 and 3 MACEs and led to 293 (44.1%, p < 0.001) and 186 (28.0%, p = 0.18) referrals, respectively.ConclusionHEART-score modifications including the physicians’ ‘sense of alarm’ may be used as a risk stratification tool for chest pain in primary care in the absence of routine access to troponin assays. Further validation is warranted.Supplementary InformationThe online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-020-01529-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • Chest pain is a common reason for consulting general practitioners (GPs)

  • For simplified HEART and HEARTGP, we found C-statistics of 0.86 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80–0.91) and 0.90, respectively

  • Optimal diagnostic accuracy was found for a simplified HEART score ≥2 (PPV 9%, negative predictive value (NPV) 99.7%), HEART-GP score ≥3 (PPV 11%, NPV 99.7%) and HEART-GP score ≥4 (PPV 16%, NPV 99.4%)

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Summary

Introduction

Chest pain is a common reason for consulting general practitioners (GPs). Approximately 1–4% of all new episodes are related to chest pain [1,2,3,4,5]. The principle task for GPs lies in differentiating urgent (but uncommon) causes of chest pain from the less urgent underlying conditions of the majority of patients [2, 6]. To make this differentiation GPs mainly depend on prior experience, past medical history, and careful history taking, at times a rather tricky endeavour [7, 8]. In this study we evaluated the diagnostic performance of a simplified HEART score (omitting troponin) and HEART-GP score (replacing troponin with sense of alarm) to risk-stratify patients with chest pain in urgent primary care. The outcome of interest is diagnostic accuracy, including positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV)

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