Abstract

When the financial positions of pension funds worsen, regulations prescribe that pension funds reduce the gap between their assets (invested contributions) and their liabilities (accumulated pension promises). This paper quantifies the business cycle effects and distributional implications of various types of restoration policies. We extend a canonical New-Keynesian model with a tractable demographic structure and, as a novelty, a flexible pension fund framework. Fund participants accumulate real or nominal benefits and funding adequacy is restored by revaluing previously accumulated pension wealth (Defined Contribution) or changing the pension fund contribution rate on labour income (Defined Benefit). Generally, economies with Defined Contribution pension funds respond similarly to adverse capital quality shocks as economies without pension funds. Defined Benefit pension funds, however, distort labour supply decisions and exacerbate economic fluctuations. Retirees prefer Defined Benefit over Defined Contribution funds in case they face deficits, while the current and future working population prefers the opposite.

Highlights

  • The financial positions of pension funds worsened worldwide during the financial crisis of 2008 and the ensuing sovereign debt crisis of 2009

  • The appeal of inflation-indexed Defined Benefit (DB) pension funds is dampened

  • This paper has provided an assessment of the business cycle effects and distributional implications of pension fund restoration policy by extending a canonical New-Keynesian dynamic general equilibrium model with a tractable demographic structure and a flexible pension fund framework

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

The financial positions of pension funds worsened worldwide during the financial crisis of 2008 and the ensuing sovereign debt crisis of 2009. While DB pension funds (which have been studied in environments without nominal rigidities) are generally considered to be ex ante welfare improving because they bring about intergenerational risk-sharing [see Beetsma and Romp (2016) for an overview] and increase the risk-taking capacity of the economy [Gollier (2008)], our results show that the induced distortions of such systems are sizeable when nominal rigidities are present.

THE MODEL
Demographic Structure
Pension Fund
Decision Problems of Workers and Retirees
Firms and Government
MODEL ANALYSIS
Baseline Calibration
Restoring Pension Funding Adequacy after an Adverse Capital Quality Shock
Welfare Effects of Pension Fund Restoration Policy
Findings
CONCLUSION
Full Text
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