Abstract

Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression (GWLR) model is a regression model developed from logistic regression which is applied to spatial data. The aims of research is a GWLR model determination on dichotomous data of community welfare status based on the Human Development Index (HDI) and to find the factors influencing the probability of high welfare status of each Regency/City on Kalimantan Island in 2017. Parameters estimation of the GWLR model was done at each observation location using a weighted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method and maximum likelihood estimator was obtained by Newton Raphson iterative method. Spatial weighting on parameter estimation was determined using Adaptive Gaussian weighting function and optimum bandwidth was determined using Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) criterion. Based on the result of GWLR parameter testing, it was concluded that the factors influencing the probability of high welfare status of Regency/City on Kalimantan Island in 2017 were school enrollment rates (senior high school), the number of health workers, real per capita income and the open unemployment rate.

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