Penerapan Data Mining Pada Prediksi Harga Emas dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Regresi Linear Berganda dan ARIMA

Abstract

The development of life has developed very rapidly at this time, one thing that has quite an important influence is the business processes carried out. Investment is a business that is carried out by all levels and also members of society easily and flexibly. Currently, the investment that is very popular with the public is gold. Gold itself is one of the most sought after precious metals at the moment, apart from being used to beautify oneself, gold can also be used as an investment asset. Based on several factors above, many people invest in gold. Investments made in Gold are not investments that have a short period of time but investments that are made over a fairly long period of time. Investing in Gold is done by buying Gold at a cheap price at the moment and then selling it again when the Gold price has risen. However, in the process that occurs, problems often occur, where the problems that occur are related to the price of gold. Where this problem can be solved by making a prediction. Data mining is used in predictions because the prediction process is carried out using data mining based on data processing. Data mining itself is a technique that is widely used today to assist in the problem solving process. In this research, the solution process was carried out using the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm and also ARIMA. In this research, the research process will be carried out by comparing the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm. Comparison of algorithms aims to obtain the most optimal results from implementing the algorithm. In solving using the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm and ARIMA, these two algorithms can help solve prediction problems by producing optimal results. From the process carried out, the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm has an RMSE value of 4902782.346, while the ARIMA algorithm gets a value of 5876287.332. This indicates that the results of the Multiple Linear Regression algorithm are better than the ARIMA algorithm.