Penerapan Algoritma Support Vector Regression untuk Prediksi Jumlah Pasien Covid-19 di Provinsi Riau

Abstract

In 2019, at the end of December, there was an outbreak of a disease with an unknown cause in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China. The World Health Organization has named the outbreak of the disease as coronavirus caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) or Covid-19. Covid-19 is a disease outbreak that has spread in various regions of Indonesia, such as in Riau, at PT. Nusantara V Plantation (PTPN V). So we need a way to increase awareness and vigilance, namely by presenting information using Data Mining in predicting the number of cases with thealgorithm Support Vector Regression (SVR). The prediction process is carried out using SVR by specifying the SVR and Kernel Linear parameters. The SVR algorithm can predict the number of Covid-19 patients in the next 30 days so that the Correlation Coefficienti (R) level is 85% and the Mean Square Error (MSE) value is 0.196. From the results of the experiment, there was a decrease in cases of Covid-19 patients at PT. Perkebunan Nusantara V in the next 30 days, with the acquisition of the best minimum sensitivity value of 0.09