Abstract

Road traffic accidents are currently between the seventh and tenth leading cause of death in the world, with approximately 1.35 million people killed per year. Despite extensive efforts by governments, according to the World Health Organization, road accidents still cause far too many deaths, especially among pedestrians, cyclists and two-wheel motor vehicle riders, who together account for almost 50% of road traffic fatalities. In particular, Spain had 410,974 traffic accidents between 2016 and 2019, involving 722,516 vehicles and 61,177 pedestrians with varying degrees of injury. This study uses the Bayesian network method to understand how the pedestrians’ responsibility and actions at the time of the traffic accident affect the injury suffered by said pedestrian, also considering the variables of the road infrastructure and vehicles at the accident site. The results confirm that the variables linked to the unsafe behavior of pedestrians, and their responsibility in traffic accidents, increase the risk of suffering serious or fatal injuries during an accident; for example, if a pedestrian is distracted this increases his/her probability of suffering a severe injury (27.86%) with respect to not being distracted (20.73%). Conditions related to traffic in high-speed areas, areas with no or poor lighting, and areas lacking sidewalks, also record increases in pedestrian injury, as is the case in the age group of pedestrians over 60 years of age.

Highlights

  • Road traffic accidents and road safety have undoubtedly become the subject of public health studies worldwide, as they are currently the seventh to tenth leading cause of global deaths [1]

  • The “a priori” probabilities show that a pedestrian has a 22.09% chance of serious or fatal injury if he/she is responsible for the accident, which decreases to 16.94%

  • If the pedestrian is not responsible for the accident. These “a priori” probabilities are compared in this study with the interaction of behavioural and situational variables to understand the changes in pedestrian injury probabilities in different situations

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Summary

Introduction

Road traffic accidents and road safety have undoubtedly become the subject of public health studies worldwide, as they are currently the seventh to tenth leading cause of global deaths [1]. Road safety is studied through different risk factors, such as infrastructure factors (type of road, lighting, pavements), human and behavioural factors (age, gender, actions taken) and vehicle factors (type of vehicle, speed of vehicles), and their interactions allow for a better understanding of the causes of road accidents and their impact on the injury rate of those involved [3,4]. In Spain, according to the “Dirección General de Tráfico” (DGT, General Directorate of Traffic), in 2019, 1755 people died (381 pedestrians), 130,475 were injured without hospitalisation (13,016 pedestrians) and 8613 were hospitalised (2069 pedestrians), as a result of 104,080 traffic accidents, placing the rate at 37 deaths per million inhabitants. The risk of being injured in a traffic accident is very high, approximately 18% of the fatalities resulting from

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