Abstract

To assess the impact of atorvastatin compared to simvastatin use in the Czech Republic on cardiovascular diseases (CVD), Life-Years Gained (LYG) and Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALY), based on the real proportional consumption of both statins in particular strengths (10 mg, 20 mg, 40 mg). Life-time cost-effectiveness Markov cohort model was developed with 1 year cycle length and 5 health sates, i.e. Alive without CVD, Alive with experience of CVD, Non-fatal CVD, Fatal CVD and Death. The probability of transition among health states were derived from Framingham equations or from SCORE equations (probability of the first non/fatal CVD), Czech life-tables (background mortality) and international cohort studies (probability of subsequent CVD). Patients enter the model with base-line risk characteristics: age, proportions of males, diabetics, smokers, level of systolic blood pressure and cholesterol (total and HDL) level. The efficacy data for particular statin and its strength were derived from latest meta-analyses. Drug acquisition costs of atorvastatin 10 mg and 20 mg were 10% higher compared to simvastatin 20 mg and 40 mg. The costs of fatal, non-fatal CVD and one-year follow-up after CVD were 1,410 EUR, 1,460 EUR and 580 EUR. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) using a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold equal to 1 times GDP per capita (14,300 EUR) was applied. Over a life-time horizon, atorvastatin compared to simvastatin provides 8.14 QALYs vs. 8.07 QALYs, 11.33 LYG vs. 11,24 LYG, 44.8% vs. 46.3% of non-fatal CVD and 28.2% vs. 29.4% of fatal CVD. The increment of total costs was 330 EUR for atorvastatin, ICER for atorvastatin vs. simvastatin was then 4,720 EUR/ QALY. The use of atorvastatin generates 0.07 QALYs more compared to simvastatin per patient in the Czech Republic. There is a 98.5% probability of atorvastatin being cost-effective at the selected WTP.

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