Abstract

China National Healthcare Security Administration (former MoHRSS, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security) has conducted two rounds of price negotiation of high-price innovative drugs for National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) admission (Short for NRDL negotiation). Upon the opening of 3rd NRDL negotiation in 2019, PD-(L)1s (pembrolizumab, nivolumab, Toripalimab, Sintilimab) are lined up for NRDL admission. This study analyzed the policy implications from previous NRDL negotiations and identified the different determinants for PD-(L)1s negotiation in 2019. Through secondary research, we’ve reviewed and analyzed historical policies and price cuts in previous NRDL negotiations to predict the upcoming admission requirements for PD-(L)1s. We’ve also conducted qualitative interviews with China’s Basic Medical Insurance (BMI) payers to gauge the review process and access barriers for PD-(L)1s in 2019. We identified four determinants for PD-(L)1s NRDL negotiation in 2019: 1) Price cut is compulsory as previous oncology products have cut 53% on average to win NRDL admission (46% in 2017 and 56% in 2018). Price cut will be closely related to PAP (Patient Assistance Programs) net price. 2) Price after negotiation is intended to be the lowest among comparable countries/regions. 3) Submission of pharmaco-economic evidence is increasingly important. Cost-effectiveness and budget impact are two major factors reviewed by BMI payers. 4) BMI budget constraint will drive payers to apply payment restrictions on PD-(L)1s. Performance-based reimbursement, patient subgroup restriction and payment capping on treatment duration or expense are potential factors for PD-(L)1s negotiation. In addition, alternative funding is required imminently to sustain the reimbursement of upcoming PD-(L)1s. An over 50% price reduction is anticipated for PD-(L)1s in 2019 NRDL negotiation. BMI payers might apply payment restrictions to maintain the balance between increasing drug access and ensuring funding sustainability. Need for alternative funding is imminent.

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