Abstract

This study aims to develop physiologically based pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic (PBPK/PD) predictive models for nifedipine in pregnant women, enhancing precision medicine and reducing adverse reactions for both mothers and infants. A PBPK/PD model was constructed using PK-Sim, MoBi, and MATLAB software, integrating literature and pregnancy-specific physiological information. The process involved: (1) establishing and validating a PBPK model for serum clearance after intravenous administration in non-pregnant individuals, (2) establishing and validating a PBPK model for serum clearance after oral administration in non-pregnant individuals, (3) constructing and validating a PBPK model for enzyme clearance after oral administration in non-pregnant individuals, and (4) adjusting the PBPK model structure and enzyme parameters according to pregnant women and validating it in oral administration. (5) PK/PD model was explored through MATLAB, and the PBPK and PK/PD models were integrated to form the PBPK/PD model. The Nifedipine PBPK model's predictive accuracy was confirmed by non-pregnant and pregnant validation studies. The developed PBPK/PD model accurately predicted maximum antihypertensive effects for clinical doses of 5, 10, and 20mg. The model suggested peak effect at 0.86h post-administration, achieving blood pressure reductions of 5.4mmHg, 14.3mmHg, and 21.3mmHg, respectively. This model provides guidance for tailored dosing in pregnancy-induced hypertension based on targeted blood pressure reduction. Based on available literature data, the PBPK/PD model of Nifedipine in pregnancy demonstrated good predictive performance. It will help optimize individualized dosing of Nifedipine, improve treatment outcomes, and minimize the risk of adverse reactions in mothers and infants.

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