Abstract

We characterized the risk factors and survival of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients with brain metastases (BrM) as the first and only site of disease in a large, retrospective cohort. MBC patients treated for BrM with radiation at a quaternary institution between 2005 and 2019 were identified. MBC patients with BrM but without concurrent extracranial metastases (ECM) or leptomeningeal disease (LMD) were classified as brain-only. Factors associated with brain-only MBC, brain-specific progression free survival (bsPFS) and overall survival (OS) were investigated. A total of 691 patients with MBC and BrM were analyzed. Among them, 67 patients (9.7%, n = 67/691) presented with brain-only MBC without concurrent ECM/LMD. Within this subgroup, 40 patients (5.8%, n = 40/691) remained free of any ECM or LMD, while 17 patients (2.5%) developed LMD, and 10 patients (1.4%%) developed ECM with a median follow-up of 8 months (IQR 2-35). Patients with brain-only MBCwere more likely to have a single BrM [OR 3.41 (1.62-7.19), p = 0.001] and either HER2+ [OR 3.3 (1.13-9.65), p = 0.03] or TNBC [OR 4.09 (1.42-11.74), p = 0.009] subtypes. Patients who presented with brain-only MBC also had significantly longer OS [HR 0.45, (0.22-0.86), p = 0.008] and a trend toward longer bsPFS [HR 0.67 (0.44-1.03), p = 0.05] compared to those with concurrent ECM/LMD. Patients with brain-only MBC had a longer bsPFS and OS than those with ECM. Patients with HER2+ and TNBC were more likely to have brain-only disease compared to those withHR+/HER2-MBC.

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