Patterns of disease events and causes of death in patients with HPV-positive versus HPV-negative oropharyngeal carcinoma

Abstract

Background and purposeThere have been no studies to date of patterns of events after oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPC) treatment comprising disease progression immediately after treatment or after a disease-free interval (DFI), and causes of death, according to HPV status. Materials and methodsPatients with a T1-4, N0-3, M0 OPC who completed treatment in a curative intent at our center between 2011 and 2020 were analyzed. A DFI was defined as the absence of the disease confirmed by both physical and radiological evaluation. ResultsWe analyzed 888 patients, of who 451 were p16-positive and 437 were p16-negative. The 5-year survival rates were 82.4% vs. 44%, respectively (p < 0.0001, HR 0.24). The rates of disease progression at the end of the treatment without a DFI were 7.8% vs. 21.1% in the p16-positive vs. the p16-negative patients (p < 0.0001, OR 0.38). The 5-year competing risks of disease recurrence after a DFI were 5.6% vs. 20.5%, respectively (p < 0.0001, HR 0.26). Patients who were p16-positive had a lower risk of death from OPC disease (p < 0.0001, HR 0.23). The 5-year competing risks of a second primary cancer during follow-up were 16.1% vs. 49.9% (p = 0.0002) in the p16-positive vs. the p16- negative patients. Patients who were p16-positive had a lower risk of death from intercurrent causes (p < 0.0001, HR 0.17). ConclusionClinical trials and medical interventions dedicated to each category of events and causes of death are needed to improve survival in HPV-positive and HPV-negative OPC patients.