Abstract

We investigate the time series behavior of idiosyncratic volatility and its role in asset pricing in France. We find that both aggregate idiosyncratic and market volatility exhibit regime switching behavior similar to that in the U.S. and other developed countries. Furthermore, we find a marginally significant negative IVOL effect in the French stock market. We add new evidence to the mounting results questioning the ubiquity of the IVOL effect which highlights the importance of country verification of so called anomalies in the US, even in developed markets.

Highlights

  • In a recent study, Ang et al [1] confirm the ubiquity of a puzzling negative idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) effect [1] in 23 developed countries, including the seven largest developed economies (G7) where high volatility stocks earn low risk-adjusted returns

  • Among G7 countries did France show a decrease in the magnitude of the idiosyncratic volatility coefficient when idiosyncratic volatility was computed using a local Fama-French model instead of a world Fama-French model, and the idiosyncratic volatility coefficient turned insignificant, indicating the absence of an IVOL effect

  • This is consistent with results in other markets the U.S IVOLEW is less variable than IVOLVW as indicated by its lower coefficient of variation (CV)

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Summary

Introduction

Ang et al [1] confirm the ubiquity of a puzzling negative idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) effect [1] in 23 developed countries, including the seven largest developed economies (G7) where high volatility stocks earn low risk-adjusted returns. We add new evidence to the mounting results questioning the ubiquity of the IVOL effect This highlights the importance of country verification of so called anomalies in the US, even in developed markets. We confirm earlier evidence that idiosyncratic volatility in the French stock market exhibits a regime switching behavior rather than showing a long-term time trend.

Data and Methods
Estimating Idiosyncratic Volatility
Portfolio Analysis and Fama-MacBeth Regressions
Volatility Patterns over Time
Regime Switching Behavior in Idiosyncratic Volatility
Can Idiosyncratic Volatility Predict Cross-Sectional Expected Stock Returns?
Concluding Remarks

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