Pattern and change of NDVI and their environmental influencing factors for 1986–2019 in the Qinling-Daba Mountains of central China

Abstract

Previous studies have shown that climate change and human activities play an important role in the vegetation dynamics in the Qinling-Daba Mountains of central China. However, which environmental factors including climate, topography, soil and human activities play an important role in the vegetation dynamics and its spatial pattern in the Qinling-Daba Mountains remains to be further clarified. Based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data of the growing season from 1986 to 2019 synthesized by Landsat series satellite data on Google Earth Engine, this study aimed to further investigate the spatial pattern of NDVI and its dynamics, and clarify its environmental controlling factors in the Qinling-Daba Mountains using the methods of spatial analysis and Geodetector. The results showed that: (1) the spatial pattern of NDVI in the study area had a U-shaped NDVI distribution in latitude, anti-U-shaped patterns in longitude and with increasing altitude. (2) 2005 was the year of NDVI breakthrough increase, and the vegetation dynamics was divided into two periods according to the result of MK mutation test: the slow increasing period with an increasing rate of 0.25%/a from 1986 to 2004 (R2 0.74), and the rapid increasing period with an increasing rate of 0.30%/a from 2005 to 2019 (R2 0.92). (3) Topography regulating local hydrothermal conditions and soil enriching nutritions played more important influence on NDVI spatial pattern than climate factors (temperature and precipitation) at the regional scale. The effect of land use on NDVI change was stronger than that of climate warming (temperature), and the climate warming in recent decades played a more important role than precipitation on the NDVI dynamics. Research on vegetation patterns, changes and their environmental influencing factors will help the government and other related agencies to formulate plans or policies for infrastructure development and land management, ecological restoration.