Patients with Crohn's Disease Undergoing Abdominal Surgery: Clinical and Prognostic Evaluation Based on a Single-Center Cohort in China.

Abstract

The incidence and prevalence of Crohn's disease (CD) are increasing in China, but there are few reports on the characteristics of patients requiring abdominal surgery. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics of these patients and the potential risk factors for postoperative complications and surgical recurrence. In this observational, retrospective single-center cohort analysis, patients with CD who had undergone at least one abdominal surgery at our center from 2007 to 2020 were included. Data were collected from a prospectively maintained database. Clinical factors were assessed by logistic regression models, Kaplan-Meier methods, and Cox proportional hazards regression models. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was determined by a concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve and was validated using bootstrap resampling. In the 1639 patients, clinical characteristics were evaluated. In a multivariable logistic regression model, penetrating behavior (P = 0.002), emergency surgery (P = 0.010), and smoking status (P = 0.015) were significantly associated with an increased risk of postoperative septic complications. In contrast, staged surgery (P = 0.009) was inversely associated with postoperative complications. Upper gastrointestinal disease (P = 0.042), penetrating behavior (P = 0.027), emergency at initial surgery (P < 0.001) were significantly associated with an increased risk of surgical recurrence after the index surgery in our Cox regression model, whereas staged surgery (P = 0.036) was significantly associated with a decreased risk. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting recurrence was 0.744 (P = 0.015), and calibration curves showed good agreement between predictions of 3, 5, and 10years of recurrence and actual observations. There are several disease- and surgery-associated risk factors of postoperative adverse outcomes in patients with CD undergoing abdominal surgery. This is important in optimizing the management of CD which has evolved into a global disease with rising prevalence in newly industrialized countries including China.