Patient-Specific Prediction of Immediate Phase Lung Microwave Ablation Zone Size

Abstract

PurposeTo investigate the effect of patient and tumor-specific characteristics on the size of immediate phase lung microwave ablation (MWA) zone and establish a prediction model. Materials and MethodsThis institutional review board (IRB)–approved, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA)–compliant cohort included 164 lesions from 99 patients who underwent computed tomography (CT)–guided lung MWA, and the 2-dimensional elliptical ground-glass opacity ablation zone was measured. Duration, maximum temperature, tumor depth, presence of emphysema, history of ipsilateral lung ablation, surgery, and radiotherapy were recorded. K-fold cross validation with k = 5 and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator were used to build prediction models for the major and minor axes and area of the ablation zone. ResultsThe median of immediate phase ablation duration was 2 minutes (interquartile range, 1.5–4.25 minutes) with 65 W of power for all ablations. The mean major and minor axes and area of ablation zone were 3.1 cm (SD ± 0.6), 2.0 cm (SD ± 0.5), and 5.1 cm2 (SD ± 2.1), respectively. The major and minor axes and area of immediate phase ablation zone dimensions were significantly associated with duration (P < .001, P < .001, and P < .001, respectively), maximum temperature (P < .001, P < .001, and P < .001, respectively), tumor depth (P = .387, P < .001, and P < .001, respectively), history of ipsilateral lung ablation (P = .008, P = .286, and P = .076, respectively), and lung radiotherapy (P = .001, P = .042, and P = .015, respectively). The prediction model showed R2 values for major and minor axes and area of the ablation zone to be 0.50, 0.45, and 0.53, respectively. ConclusionsDuration of ablation, maximum temperature, tumor depth, history of ipsilateral lung ablation, surgery, and radiotherapy were significantly associated with the ablation zone dimensions and size and can be used to build the prediction model to approximate the immediate phase lung MWA zone.