Abstract

In this paper we investigate a problem of large deviations for continuous Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study the behavior, in the near future after $T$, of a Volterra process driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian motion is not directly observable, but only a noisy version is observed or some linear functionals of the noisy version are observed. Some examples are discussed in both cases.

Highlights

  • In this paper we study the asymptotics of the regular conditional prediction law of a Gaussian Volterra process in a case where one does not observe the process directly, but instead observes a noisy version of it

  • Given the σ -algebra FTα,α, where (Ftα,α )t≥0 is the filtration generated by the mixed Brownian motion W α,α, i.e. we want to condition the process to the past of the mixed

  • Suppose ((Utε)t∈[0,1])ε>0 is a family of centered Gaussian processes, defined on the probability space (, F, P), that satisfies a large deviation principle on C[0, 1] with the inverse speed ηε and the good rate function I

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Summary

Introduction

In this paper we study the asymptotics of the regular conditional prediction law of a Gaussian Volterra process in a case where one does not observe the process directly, but instead observes a noisy version of it.

Pacchiarotti
Large deviations for continuous Gaussian processes
Conditional law
Large deviations
Examples

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