Abstract

Abstract BACKGROUND Diffuse gliomas represent over 80% of malignant brain tumors ranging from low-grade to aggressive high-grade lesions. Within IDH-mutant gliomas there is a high variability in survival and a need to more accurately predict outcome. METHODS To identify and characterize a predictive signature of outcome in gliomas, we utilized an integrative molecular analysis (using methylation, mRNA, copy number variation (CNV) and mutation data), analyzing a total of 729 IDH-mutant samples including a test set of 99 from University Health Network (UHN) and two validation cohorts including the German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). RESULTS Cox regression analysis of methylation data from the UHN cohort identified CpG-based signatures that split the glioma cohort into two prognostic groups strongly predicting survival that were validated using two independent cohorts from TCGA and DKFZ (all p-values< 0.0001). The methylation signatures that predicted poor outcome also exhibited high CNV instability and hypermethylation of HOX gene probes. Integrated multi-platform analyses using mRNA and methylation (iRM) showed that parallel HOX gene overexpression and simultaneous hypermethylation were significantly associated with increased mutational load, high aneuploidy and worse survival (p-value< 0.0001). A 7-HOX gene signature was developed and validated using the most significantly associated HOX genes with patient outcome in both 1p/19q codeleted and non-codeleted IDHmut gliomas. CONCLUSIONS HOX gene methylation and expression provide important prognostic information in IDH-mutant gliomas that are not captured by current molecular diagnostics. A 7-HOX gene signature of outcome shows significant survival differences in both 1p/19q codeleted and non-codeleted IDH-mutant gliomas.

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