Abstract

Predictions of variations in global and regional hy drological cycles and their response to changes in climate and the environment are key problems for fu ture human life. Therefore, basin-scale hydrologica l forecasts, along with predictions regarding future climate change, are needed in areas with high flood potential. This study forecasts hydrological proces s scenarios in the upper Chao Phraya River basin us ing a distributed hydrological model (DHM) and precipitation scenarios from three general circulation models modified by the H08 model. First, discharge was simulated by the DHM using the observed rainfall from 2007 to 2009 and then, future discharge scenarios f rom2010 to 2040 were forecast.

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