Passive characterization of aquifer permeability and shear modulus and their evolution following earthquakes using tidal signals

Abstract

Tidal analysis of borehole pressure has become in the recent years’ literature an essential method to follow the evolution of the hydraulic conductivity of an aquifer over time. Most traditional methods (mainly pumping or slug tests) only produce a small number of observations, and come at a greater cost. However, groundwater level tidal analysis only requires monitoring data at a sampling rate of 1 hour, data which is extensively available. These solutions are applicable provided aquifers respond to at least one tidal phenomenon among oceanic, earth or atmospheric tides. Martinique Island, in the Lesser Antilles, is a very interesting field to study these techniques, since 16 years of piezometric level data have been recorded on this volcanic island in a monitoring network of 29 boreholes. Here we focus our study on a closely monitored study site in the Galion plain, with three boreholes, a seismometer and past conducted pumping tests and seismic surveys. We compute amplitude and phase response of aquifers to atmospheric and earth tides. Then, the response of the semi-confined aquifers to different loading sources at the tidal frequencies (between 1 and 2 cycles per day) is modelled. A careful inversion is done to obtain the characteristics of the aquifer, including aquifer transmissivity and shear modulus. Finally, we analyse the evolutions of these inverted parameters and decipher their reversible and irreversible changes. Between earthquakes, we show the dominant effect of effective stress to control aquifer hydraulic conductivity. At the time of the earthquake, with the help of seismic stress numerical simulation, we show that seismic shear stresses are the most probable cause of aquifer properties changes both in permeability and shear modulus.