Abstract

In the context of urban rail evacuation analysis, little work addresses the mechanism of passenger propagation between urban rail and bus systems. This paper attempts to quantify the propagation mechanism to make evacuation scheduling reasonable and effective. First, it provides a set of methods for characterizing the law of passenger propagation in the region affected by a rail station failure, based on the theory of interdependent networks. An interdependent public transport network between the rail transit and buses in the affected region is constructed using the methods of Space L and Space P. In the network, the initial capacities are modeled, the redistribution rules of passengers and the status identification rules of stations are established, and the propagation results are characterized. Second, using the passenger propagation impact of a faulty rail station, an emergency bus-scheduling model is set up, aimed at minimizing the operating costs of emergency buses and maximizing the benefits for passengers. A genetic algorithm is devised to solve the scheduling model. Finally, an example is put forward to verify the feasibility of the designed methods. The example shows that the methods provide theoretical support and a decision aid for passenger evacuation strategies at faulty urban rail stations.

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