Abstract

Drastic changes in the cryosphere have a significant impact on the quantity and formation process of water resources in the Qilian Mountains. The present study focused on quantitative evaluation of runoff components and runoff formation processes during strong ablation periods (August), in 2018, 2020, and 2021, in the transition zone between endorheic and exorheic basins in China, based on 1906 stable isotope samples. The results revealed that as the altitude decreased, the contribution of glacier and snow meltwater and permafrost water to runoff decreased, whereas that of the precipitation increased. Precipitation is a major source of river runoff in the Qilian Mountains. Notably, the runoff yield and concentration of rivers that were greatly affected by the cryosphere exhibited the following characteristics: (1) The altitude effect of stable isotopes was not significant and even showed a reverse trend in some rivers. (2) The processes of runoff yield and composition were relatively slow; as such, precipitation, glacier and snow meltwater, and supra-permafrost water were first transformed into groundwater and then supplied runoff to upstream mountainous region. (3) Finally, stable isotope composition in such rivers were similar to those in glaciers and snow meltwater, with small fluctuations. Therefore, the water sources of rivers affected by the cryosphere are more uncertain than those of rivers unaffected by the cryosphere. In future study, a prediction model of extreme precipitation and hydrological events will be developed, and a prediction technology for runoff formation and evolution in glacier snow and permafrost will be developed to integrate short-and long-term forecasts.

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