Parameter estimation of inverse Weibull distribution under competing risks based on the expectation–maximization algorithm

Abstract

AbstractA system consisting of interconnected components in series is under consideration. This research focuses on estimating the parameters of this system for incomplete lifetime data within the framework of competing risks, employing an underlying inverse Weibull distribution. While one popular method for parameter estimation involves the Newton–Raphson (NR) technique, its sensitivity to initial value selection poses a significant drawback, often resulting in convergence failures. Therefore, this paper opts for the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm. In competing risks scenarios, the precise cause of failure is frequently unidentified, and these issues can be further complicated by potential censoring. Thus, incompleteness may arise due to both censoring and masking. In this study, we present the EM‐type parameter estimation and demonstrate its superiority over parameter estimation based on the NR method. Two illustrative examples are provided. The proposed method is compared with the existing Weibull competing risks model, revealing the superiority of our approach. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we also examine the sensitivity of the initial value selection for both the NR‐type method and our proposed method.