Panel-reactive Antibody and the Association of Early Steroid Withdrawal With Kidney Transplant Outcomes.

Abstract

Early steroid withdrawal (ESW) is a viable maintenance immunosuppression strategy in low-risk kidney transplant recipients. A low panel-reactive antibody (PRA) may indicate low-risk condition amenable to ESW. We aimed to identify the threshold value of PRA above which ESW may pose additional risk and to compare the association of ESW with transplant outcomes across PRA strata. We studied 121 699 deceased-donor kidney-only recipients in 2002-2017 from Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. Using natural splines and ESW-PRA interaction terms, we explored how the associations of ESW with transplant outcomes change with increasing PRA values and identified a threshold value for PRA. Then, we assessed whether PRA exceeding the threshold modified the associations of ESW with 1-y acute rejection, death-censored graft failure, and death. The association of ESW with acute rejection exacerbated rapidly when PRA exceeded 60. Among PRA ≤60 recipients, ESW was associated with a minor increase in rejection (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.001.051.10) and with a tendency of decreased graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.910.971.03). However, among PRA >60 recipients, ESW was associated with a substantial increase in rejection (aOR, 1.191.271.36; interaction P < 0.001) and with a tendency of increased graft failure (aHR, 0.981.081.20; interaction P = 0.028). The association of ESW with death was similar between PRA strata (PRA ≤60, aHR, 0.910.961.01; and PRA >60, aHR, 0.900.991.09; interaction P = 0.5). Our findings show that the association of ESW with transplant outcomes is less favorable in recipients with higher PRA, especially those with PRA >60, suggesting a possible role of PRA in the risk assessment for ESW.