PANC 3 score as a simple cost-effective scoring system in predicting severity of acute pancreatitis

Abstract

Background: Acute pancreatitis presents as acute abdomen, is an inflammatory process of the pancreas associated with local and systemic complications requiring, in such cases, an intensive care. At present, there are lots of scores (such as Ranson’s, APACHE II, bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis) that help us in predicting severity at the time of admission, but these are time consuming or require complex calculation and are costly. Our aim here is to analyse the simplified stratification system of the PANC 3 score, and its assessment in Predicting Severity of Acute Pancreatitis as decided by modified Marshals score.Methods: It is a prospective analytical observational study in which 74 patients were evaluated with PANC 3 scoring, who were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis and admitted to Dept. Of General Surgery, MKCG.Results: The results showed that PANC3 score had a 95.91% specificity, 68% sensitivity, 89.47% positive predictive value, and 85.45% negative predictive value, 86.48% diagnostic accuracy.Conclusions: PANC3 scoring system is one of the better systems because the three criteria used (haematocrit, body mass index, and pleural effusion) are simple, easy to assess, readily available, and economic Hence, the PANC3 score is a cost-effective, promising score that helps in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis and triaging the patient, leading to prompt management.