P908 The novel predictor for mortality in patients with functional mitral regurgitation: the modified MIDA-Score

Abstract

Abstract EuroSCORE and STS-Score are used to assess surgical risk in patients with valvular heart diseases. The MIDA- Score has been recently published as a representative predictor for short- and long-term prognosis in patients with degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR). The adequate assessment of long-term prognosis in patients with functional MR is scarce. We aim to adapt this classical score system for patients with FMR. We retrospectively included 105 patients with FMR who underwent transcatheter mitral regurgitation therapy (TMVR) between January 2014 and August 2016 in our center. Due to the different underlying pathomechanisms of FMR, annular dilatation and impaired left ventricle function, and more elderly patient population we adapted some cut-off values to FMR patients (Age > 65 to Age > 75; LV-EF ≤ 60% to LV-EF ≤ 45%; sPAP≥50mmHg to sPAP≥45mmHg). Moreover, according to Cox proportional hazard analysis of our patient collective we re-calculated the weights of the risk factors: Age 2 points, Symptoms 1 point, atrial fibrillation 2 points, left atrial diameter 1 point, right ventricle systolic pressure 2 points, left ventricle end-systolic diameter 2 points, left ventricle ejection fraction 2 points. We defined three risk groups according to total points from the risk factors; Grade 1 (0-4 points): low risk, Grade 2 (5-9 points): moderate risk, Grade 3 (10-12 points): high risk. We retrospectively included 105 patients (76.7 ± 8.8 years, 50,6% female) with symptomatic (functional NYHA class > II ) moderate-to-severe FMR (PISA: 0.7 ± 0.4cm, VC width: 0.8 ± 0.3cm, EROA: 0.22cm2, RegVol: 38.1 ± 19.2ml) at surgical high risk (EuroSCORE II: 5.4 ± 3.8%, STS-Score: 4.7 ± 2.8%). We found all-cause mortality 7% at one-year follow-up. 34.1% of our collective were hospitalized. The classical MIDA Score was not significantly correlated with mortality and rehospitalization in patients with FMR at follow-up (p = 0.5); however, the modified MIDA score was found to be a strong predictor for mortality and rehospitalization in patients with FMR (AUC: 0.89). According to multivariate analysis, the modified MIDA score was found to be superior compared to the other conventional score systems (The modified MIDA-Score HR: 4.1, p = 0.021; EuroSCORE II; HR: 1.2, p = 0.004, STS-Score; HR: 1.7, p = 0.005). We performed Cox proportional hazard analysis to assess the weighting factor of the predictors. As a result of this, we found age (HR: 2,95, p = 0.03) as the most reliable parameter to predict the combined outcome. The 12,5% of grade 1, 27% grade 2, 57% grade 3 patients showed combined endpoint. According to regression analysis, the modified score >9 points found to be a strong predictor for high mortality and rehospitalization (OR: 3.35, p = 0.011). We found the modified MIDA Score sufficient and extensive to assess outcomes in patients with FMR. The modified MIDA Score offers a sufficient promising tool to predict individual prognosis in patients with FMR.