Abstract

Abstract Background Hypoalbuminemia was reported to be associated with poor prognosis in severe diseases. Triple-vessel coronary artery disease (TVD) has high risk of death. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of hypoalbuminemia in TVD patients. Methods A total of 8,943 consecutive TVD patients were enrolled from April 2004 to February 2011. The primary endpoint was all-cause death and the secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction or stroke). Patients were divided into two groups according to normal serum albumin level (<4.0 g/dL and ≥4.0 g/dL). Results During the median of follow-up 7.5 years, 1365 deaths and 2354 MACCE occurred. Multivariate Cox regression indicated that hypoalbuminaemia (<4.0 g/dL) was an independent predictor of all-cause death (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.14–1.50, P<0.001) and MACCE (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07–1.32, P<0.001). Adjustment of the all-cause death risk estimated by albumin improved the predictive value of SYNTAX score (AUC from 0.585 to 0.602, P=0.002; IDI=0.005, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001). For SYNTAX II score, improvement was shown for NRI and IDI but not for AUC (SYNTAX II for PCI: IDI=0.003, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001; AUC from 0.711 to 0.713, P=0.257; SYNTAX II for CABG: IDI=0.002, P<0.001; NRI=0.205, P<0.001; AUC from 0.696 to 0.698, P=0.120). Predictive value for all-cause death using the AUC, NRI and IDI AUC (95% CI) P value NRI (95% CI) P value IDI (95% CI) P value SYNTAX 0.585 (0.568–0.602) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX + albumin 0.602 (0.586–0.619) 0.002 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.005 (0.004–0.007) <0.001 SYNTAX II (for PCI) 0.711 (0.696–0.726) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX II (for PCI) + albumin 0.713 (0.698–0.728) 0.257 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.003 (0.001–0.004) <0.001 SYNTAX II (for CABG) 0.696 (0.680–0.711) Ref. Ref. – Ref. – SYNTAX II (for CABG) + albumin 0.698 (0.683–0.714) 0.120 0.205 (0.145–0.264) <0.001 0.002 (0.001–0.004) <0.001 Multi-factor adjusted KM analysis in TVD Conclusions For TVD patients, hypoalbuminaemia was a strong independent prognostic factor for long-term outcomes of death and MACCE. Albumin improved the prediction of death with the SYNTAX score and the SYNTAX II score. Acknowledgement/Funding CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (2016-I2M-1-002), Beijing Natural Science Foundation (7181008)

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