Abstract

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) is one the leading causes of hospitalization in the Western world. Women have a lower rate of HF hospitalization and mortality compared to men. Role of 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG) as a risk marker of future HF in women is not well known. Purpose We studied the association of standard 12-lead ECG and clinical risk factors to HF hospitalization in women and in men separately from a large middle aged general population sample with a long-term follow-up. Methods Standard 12-lead ECG markers were analyzed from 10,864 subjects (48.8% women, N=5,215) of the prospective Mobile Clinic Study, and their predictive value for HF hospitalization was analyzed. Results During the follow-up (29.6±11.2 yrs.), a total of 1,743 subjects had HF hospitalization; out of these, 861 were women (49.4%). Several baseline characteristics, such as age, body mass index, blood pressure, and history of prior cardiac disease predicted the occurrence of HF both in women and men (P<0.001 for all). After adjusting for baseline variables, ECG sign of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (P<0.001), and atrial fibrillation (P<0.001) were the only baseline ECG variables that predicted the future HF in women. In men, HF was predicted by fast heart rate (P=0.008), T wave inversions (P<0.001), abnormal Q waves (P=0.002), and atrial fibrillation (P<0.001). Statistically significant gender interactions in prediction of HF were observed in ECG sign of LVH (P<0.001), inferolateral T wave inversions (P=0.005), and heart rate (P=0.012). Conclusions ECG sign of LVH predicts future HF in middle-aged women independently, and T wave inversions and elevated heart rate are associated with HF hospitalization in men in. Acknowledgement/Funding Finnish Cultural Foundation, The University of Oulu Scholarship Foundation, Juho Vainio Foundation

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