Abstract

Abstract Background The association between advanced interatrial block (aIAB) and atrial fibrillation (AF) is known as “Bayes' Syndrome”. There is little information on the prognostic role that new speckle tracking echocardiographic (STE) imaging techniques could play in it. Purpose We have examined the relationship between left atrial (LA) STE and the prediction of new-onset AF and/or stroke in IAB patients. Methods Observational study with 98 outpatients: 55 (56.2%) controls with normal ECG, 21 (21.4%) with partial IAB (pIAB) and 22 (22.4%) with aIAB. The end-point was new-onset AF, ischemic stroke, and the composite of both. Results During a mean follow-up of 1.9 (1.7–2.3) years, 20 patients presented the end-point (18 new-onset AF and 2 strokes): 8 (14.5%) in the control group, 3 (14.3%) in pIAB and 9 (40.9%) in aIAB, p=0.03. In multivariable comprehensive Cox regression analyses, a decrease of strain rate during the booster pump function phase (SRa) was the only variable independently related to the appearance in the evolution of the end-point, in the first model (age, P wave duration and SRa): HR 19.9 (95% CI, 3.12–127.5), p=0.002 and in the second (age, presence of aIAB and SRa): HR 24.2 (95% CI, 3.15–185.4), p=0.002. Conclusions In patients with IAB, a decrease in absolute value of LA SRa with STE predicts new-onset AF and ischemic stroke. Acknowledgement/Funding None

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