Abstract

Abstract Background Histologic activity has been established as a crucial prognostic determinant in individuals diagnosed with ulcerative colitis(UC), while achieving histologic remission is increasingly recognized as a significant long-term therapeutic goal. However, the available literature still lacks adequate evidence concerning the selection of an optimal histological index and its utility in predicting prognosis Methods This retrospective study involved the analysis of medical records and endoscopic results from patients diagnosed with UC between January 2015 and December 2022. Endoscopic remission was defined as a Mayo endoscopic sub-score of ≤1. Histological assessment utilized the Nancy index, with a score of ≤1 indicating histological remission. Among patients with UC who achieved endoscopic remission, the study assessed the maintenance of remission and the occurrence of recurrence based on histological remission Results A total of 114 patients with UC who achieved mucosal healing were enrolled for histological evaluation. Among them, 16.7% (19/114) experienced flare-ups, and a statistically significant inverse correlation was observed with histologic remission (see Table). Multivariate analysis further identified non-histologic remission (Nancy index >2) as an independent risk factor for recurrence (Hazard ratio: 3.513, CI: 1.334-9.257, P=0.011). Particularly noteworthy was the significantly lower recurrence rate when histologic remission is achieved, especially in patients with MES 1 (see Figure) Conclusion Our study demonstrated a robust correlation between histologic remission assessed by the Nancy index and sustained clinical remission. The Nancy index, reflecting relatively straightforward histological activity, is considered a valuable metric that can aid in establishing treatment goals

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