Abstract

Abstract Background Left atrial functional indices measured by two dimensional echocardiography (2DE) have prognostic significance for major cardiovascular events (MACE). Retrospective analysis using propensity score matching to assess the prognostic values of left atrial reservoir function measured by three dimensional speckle tracking analysis (3DSTA) was performed. Methods Two hundred sixty-four patients (Male 60%, 65±15yo) who underwent both clinically indicated 2DE and 3DSTA for various underlying heart diseases from January 4, 2013 to February 28, 2016 were followed to record MACE. Patients with significant mitral valve disease, history of pulmonary vein isolation and persistent atrial fibrillation were excluded. Maximum and minimum left atrial volume (LAVImax and LAVImin), left atrial emptying fraction (LAEmpF), peak global LA area ratio (LAAC), circumferential strain (LACS) and longitudinal strain (LALS) were measured using 3DSTA. Standard indices including peak global LVLS (2DLVLS) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and LA volume index were also assessed by 2DE. Cutoff line for LA reservoir functional indices and 2DLVLS was determined using ROC analysis. Average treatment effect for the treated (ATT), Average treatment effect (ATE) for each index were calculated after propensity score matching for clinical indices (age, sex, coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes, eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73m2, LVEF <40%) Results During a mean follow-up of 547±435 days, MACE developed in 30 patients (7 cardiac death 6 stroke, 1 nonfatal MI, 22 admission for heart failure). Age, coronary artery disease (CAD), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD: eGFR< 45ml/min/1.73m2), LVEF, 2DLVLS, LAVImax and LAVImin by 2DE and all LA indices by 3DSTA had significant prognostic value by univariate analysis. LAEmpF and LALS by 3DSTA had higher ATT, ATE and Log rank χ2 than other LA indices and 2DLVLS. The model added LALS or LAEmpF by 3DSTA had higher prognostic value (LALS <10.6%: AUC; 0.82, HR; 5.57 CI: 2.32–14.06, LAEmpF <33.0%: AUC; 0.82, HR; 6.59 CI; 2.60–20.18) than LA volume indices by 2DE and also tended to be better than 2DLVLS (LVLS <6.04%: AUC; 0.77, HR; 5.37 CI; 2.06–13.73). propensity score matching Conclusion LALS and LAEmpF by 3DSTA showed additive prognostic value for MACE.

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