Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims In living donor kidney transplantation, the progress of immunosuppressants in recent decades has led to an average graft survival period more than 15 years. However, the rate of graft loss (GL) within 5 years is still about 5%. Since the incidence of early GL is low, clinical evidence of causes and risk factors are limited and it remains unclear whether early GL was predictable before transplantation. Our purposes were to characterize a patient population with GL, to identify risk factors associated with early (<5 years) GL. Method The subjects were 1,779 patients who underwent living donor kidney transplantation at Japanese Red Cross Nagoya Daini hospital and Masuko Memorial Hospital from January 1, 1972 to December 31, 2018 (former group (1972-1999) : 503, latter group (2000-2018) : 1,276). We retrospectively examined patient characteristics, timing and causes of GL in 445 cases with GL by December 31, 2019 (GL cases in former group : 335, GL cases in latter group : 110). Results The 5- and 10-year graft survival rates were on an increasing trend, with 74.7% and 58.3% in former group and 95.2% and 88.7% in latter group, respectively. In latter group, T cell-mediated rejection and recurrence of primary diseases were significantly more frequent in GL cases within 5 years after transplantation than over 5 years (10% vs 0%, p=0.02 and 6% vs 0%, p=0.04). Although not significant, GL due to antibody-mediated rejection tended to more frequent in over 5 years after transplantation (22% vs 45%). Compared the causes of GL within 5 years after transplantation between GL cases in former group and latter group, rate of allograft rejection significantly reduced (88% vs 44%, p<0.001), and infections (especially BK polyomavirus infection), medication nonadherence and recurrence of primary diseases tended to increase (0%, 4% and 3% vs 8%, 16% and 8%, respectively). Conclusion Our analysis suggests that management of infections, medication nonadherence and recurrence of primary diseases have become more important for living donor kidney transplant recipients in recent years with improved immunosuppressants.

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