Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims The risk scores used in Critical Care Units estimate the severity and mortality of patients. The SAPS (Simplified Acute Physiologic Score) and its SAPS II and SAPS III variants calculate the severity by collecting the values recorded in the first 24 hours. The EPTS (Estimated Post-Transplant-Survival) is used as a reference for the allocation of organs in the US by the OPTN. The objective is to determine its use in recent renal transplant units as estimator of subsequent renal function, in services where patients move from the operating room to a nephrological intermediate care unit. Method The SAPS (II and III) and OPTN scores were applied in 87 (N = 87) consecutive renal transplanted patients. The point value of each of the scales was evaluated with the creatinine values at hospital discharge, and one month after the transplant. The scores obtained on the SAPS scales were divided as follows (SAPSIIA <20 points, SAPSIIB ≥20 points) (SAPSIII A <30 points, SAPSIIIB ≥30 points). In the EPTS scale, two cut-off points were used to divide the groups (20% Score; EPTS-IA ≤20%, EPTS-IB> 20%), (Score 40%; EPTS-IIA ≤40%, EPTS -IIB> 40). The sérum creatinine means of each of the groups were compared. Data were analyzed with SPSS 20.0.0 Results Significant differences were found in serum creatinine levels in renal function at the first month of transplantation in the SAPS II groups (SAPS IIA 1.38 mg / dl, SAPS IIB 1.79 mg / dl; P = 0.017 95% CI). With an area under the ROC curve of 0.65 (P = 0.017 95% CI). In the SAPS III groups no significant differences were found. In the EPTS scales, there were also significant differences in creatinine one month after the transplant in the group with a score of 40% (EPTS-IIA ≤40% 1.42 mg / dl, EPTS-IIB> 40 1.81 mg / dl; P = 0.024 95% CI) With an Area under the ROC curve of 0.64 (P = 0.037 95% CI). Conclusion The SAPSII and EPTS scores can be a useful tool in estimating renal function one month after renal transplantation, giving a prognosis of renal graft function. The combined use of these scales together with other functional graft tests could have an important relevance in the management and follow-up of recent renal transplantation. Other studies with larger sample sizes are necessary to establish the appropriate cut-off points for the scales.

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