Abstract
Abstract Background Current guidelines recommend implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (2DE LVEF) by two-dimensional echocardiography≤ 35%. However, new echocardiography parameters of LV function such as the mechanical dispersion (MD), the LVEF by three-dimensional echocardiography (3DE) and the global myocardial work index (GWI) have been reported to provide a more accurate stratification of the arrhythmic risk, and potentially improve ICD patient selection. Purpose We wanted to compare the arrhythmic risk predictive power of the new parameters of LV function with the conventional 2DLVEF. Material and Methods we prospectively enrolled 216 patients (63 ± 12 years, 88% men) with organic heart diseases and 2DE LVEF <50%, in whom we re-measured LVEF using 3DE, and obtained MD and GWI using 2DE speckle tracking. Major arrhythmic events were defined as sudden cardiac death, sustained ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation and appropriate ICD shocks. We assessed the predictive power of 4 different parameters: 2DE LVEF< 35%; 3DE LVEF< 35%; MD > 80 ms; and GWI< 672 mmHg% to identify patients at risk of major arrhythmic events. Results During a mean follow-up of 27 ± 24 months, 24 patients (10%) experienced sudden cardiac death, whereas 28 patients (13%) presented major arrhythmic events. The predictive power in terms of major arrhythmic events prediction (Harrel C statistics) improved from 0.67 (95%CI 0.57-0.76) for 2DE LVEF< 35%, to 0.73 (95%CI 0.64-0.82) for 3DE LVEF< 35%, and 0.77 (95%CI 0.68-0.86) for GWI < 672 mm Hg%. Whereas, MD > 80 ms showed a limited predictive power (HCS= 0.53, 95%CI 0.41-0.76)). Conclusions GWI< 672 mm Hg% was the most accurate predictor of major arrhythmic events among echocardiography parameters in patients with organic heart disease and LVEF < 50%.
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