Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims The aim of the study is to evaluate whether circulating fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) predicts cardiovascular mortality in dialysis patients, independent of markers of calcium-phosphate metabolism and cardiovascular risk factors. Method A prospective observational study at Akdeniz University Medical Center including 51 peritoneal dialysis patients and 27 hemodialysis patients was undertaken from 01/2009 to 12/2019. Plasma C-terminal FGF23 concentrations in addition to other measures of mineral metabolism were performed at baseline. Patients were followed for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, coronary revascularization, heart failure hospitalization and atrial fibrillation. Results The mean age of patients 48± 15 years. During a ten year follow up period, there were 47 deaths. The median plasma FGF23 level was 321 pg/ml (interquartile range 51-1784 pg/ml). Patients were stratified by their baseline FGF23 levels according to the tertiles. Cumulative survival analysis by tertiles of FGF23 were made with the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Kaplan Meier analysis with log-rank did reveal a significant difference between the groups (p=0,048). Conclusion Higher FGF23 levels are associated with an increased incidence of cardiovascular mortality in dialysis patients, independent of other markers of calcium-phosphate metabolism and cardiovascular risk factors.

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