Abstract

Abstract Study question Which is better for predicting clinical pregnancy rate : AFC, FORT, FOI, FSI, or OSI? Summary answer Both AFC and OSI can be used to predict clinical pregnancy better than FORT, FOI or FSI. What is known already AFC, FORT, FOI, OSI, FSI can be used to predict clinical pregnancy, but no study compared which one is better Study design, size, duration Retrospective study using data from medical record (2016–2018) Subjects were patients underwent IVF cycle at Aster Clinic in Hasan Sadikin Hospital Bandung. Subjects divided into 2 groups: clinically pregnant that is visible gestational sac on ultrasound (n = 83) and not pregnant (n = 148). Inclusion criteria : antagonist protocols, <45 years, basal follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) ≤ 12 IU/L, ICSI fertilization method, and fresh transfer cycle. Participants/materials, setting, methods AFC categorized < 5 and ≥ 5 (poseidon) FORT=pre-ovulatory follicles(16–20 mm) x 100 divided by AFC(2–10 mm). FOI=oocytes obtained x 100 divided by AFC. OSI=oocytes obtained x 1000 divided by total FSH dose. FSI=pre-ovulatory follicles x 100,000 divided by (AFC x total FSH dose). FORT and FSI divided using percentil 33 and 67. OSI divided into 3 groups by cut-off 1.697/IU for poor-response and 10.07/IU for hyperresponse. FOI divided into 2 groups, ≤ 50% or > 50% Main results and the role of chance Group of AFC ≥ 5 had a significantly higher clinical pregnancy rate than the AFC < 5 group (39.49% vs. 16.67% ; p = 0.009). High and moderate OSI had higher clinical pregnancy rate than low OSI (66.37% vs. 37.72% vs. 25.45% ; p = 0.038). There is a significant negative correlation between OSI and age (–0.454) or total FSH dose (–0.594). There is a significant positive correlation between OSI and AFC (0.625), the number of follicles at trigger (0.792), and oocytes (0.923). There were no significant differences in clinical pregnancy rates between the FORT, FOI, and FSI groups. Limitations, reasons for caution Limitation Retrospective study using medical record data Ultrasound measurement was done by many reproductive gynecology specialist (not 1 person) --- observer bias. Wider implications of the findings: This study found no association between FORT, FOI, FSI on clinical pregnancy. Why? FORT, FSI, FOI use measurement number of follicles at trigger and antral follicle. Differences among observers in interpreting antral follicles and number of follicles at trigger, or inaccurate measurement. No FORT, FOI, and FSI cut off values from previous study. Trial registration number Not applicable

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