Abstract

Climate change affects butterflies in many ways, influencing the timing of emergence and reproduction, habitat preferences, and behaviour. The small blue (Cupido minimus Fuessley, 1775) is highly specialised in its host plant requirements, feeding on the seeds of a single species, kidney vetch (Anthyllis vulneraria), on which the larvae occur singly to avoid cannibalism. The butterfly is likely to be vulnerable to temperature-related changes in oviposition, adult emergence, and host plant flowering times, and is, therefore, a good model species for investigating climate change-related impacts. Using 26 years of data from the national UK Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (1993–2019) from one nature reserve, and 4 years of targeted egg searches (2006, 2007, 2008, 2020) from three reserves in Bedfordshire, UK, we investigated the effects of local temperature on small blue emergence date and total abundance, whether flowerhead or local environmental characteristics predicted small blue oviposition behaviour, and whether this changed between years. Small blue adults emerged on earlier dates over time, and earlier in years with higher maximum February temperatures. Total adult abundance was not predicted by monthly temperatures or total abundance in the previous year. Oviposition behaviour was broadly consistent across years, with egg presence more likely and egg abundance higher on kidney vetch flowerheads that were taller than the surrounding vegetation, and surrounded by taller vegetation and fewer mature flowerheads. The effect of solar radiation differed between years, with a negative effect on the probability of egg presence in 2007 and 2008, but a positive effect in 2020. Egg abundance per flowerhead was highly variable between years, with 2006 having four times more eggs per flowerhead than other years. This was likely driven by high adult abundance in 2006, which could have increased competition for flowerheads.Implications for insect conservationOur results indicate that management for greater availability of taller kidney vetch amongst taller vegetation would encourage small blue oviposition on a greater number of flowerheads, providing a possible means of reducing competition and increasing larval survival, and that this would be effective despite variation in adult abundance between years. The high level of competition we observed in the year with the highest adult abundance indicates that higher numbers of host plants should be encouraged to reduce competition and larval cannibalism in peak years, increasing the likelihood of long-term population persistence and growth.

Highlights

  • Climate change is a major threat facing wild populations (Thomas et al 2004), with predicted impacts in temperate regions including increasing summer (Battisti and Naylor 2009) and winter (Kreyling 2010) temperatures, changes to precipitation (Trenberth 2011), and increased frequencyExtended author information available on the last page of the article and intensity of extreme events (IPCC 2014)

  • We address the following questions: 1. Are annual first emergence date or total abundance of small blues at a local scale affected by temperature, and have these changed over time?

  • We found that egg abundance was higher on more apparent flowers with taller surrounding vegetation, implying that relatively consistent cues are used for oviposition by females, and that multiple females sometimes select the same flower for oviposition, despite the risk of cannibalism

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change is a major threat facing wild populations (Thomas et al 2004), with predicted impacts in temperate regions including increasing summer (Battisti and Naylor 2009) and winter (Kreyling 2010) temperatures, changes to precipitation (Trenberth 2011), and increased frequencyExtended author information available on the last page of the article and intensity of extreme events (IPCC 2014). Time-series measures of phenology, such as emergence date, are used to track and predict long-term change (Forister and Shapiro 2003; Stefanescu et al 2003), and are vital for uncovering changes in species interactions, which can be driven by temperature variation (Roy and Sparks 2000). Another relevant, but understudied, aspect of butterfly biology is behaviour (Dover 1997; Kallioniemi et al 2014), including oviposition choice. Butterfly larvae are less mobile than adults (Hagstrum and Subramanyam 2010), so selection of a suitable host plant by females during oviposition can determine the fitness and survival of offspring (Bergman 1999)

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