Outcome of patients with colorectal liver metastasis: Analysis of 1,613 consecutive cases.

Abstract

e14000 Background: To evaluate the long-time outcome of patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) undergoing different types of therapy and identify factors associated with prognosis. Methods: From 2000 to 2010, a total of 1,613 patients with CRLM were identified in Zhongshan Hospital. Clinicopathological and outcome data were collected and analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Of 1,613 patients the median survival was 23.1 months and the five-year survival rate was 23%. Synchronous liver metastasis (SLM), female, grade III-IV, T4 and N + of primary tumor, bilobar disease, number of liver metastases ≥ 4, size of largest liver metastases ≥ 5 cm, CEA ≥5 ng/ml and CA19-9 ≥ 37u/ml were the predictors of adverse outcome using univariate analysis. The median survival and five-year survival rate for patients after resection of liver metastases was 49.8 months and 47%, compared with 22.2 months and 19% for those after systemic chemotherapy alone, 19.0 months and 13% for those after hepatic arterial chemotherapy alone, 22.8 months and 10% for those after systemic chemotherapy combined with hepatic arterial chemotherapy, and 28.5 months and 6% for those after local regional treatment alone (p< 0.010). In addition, patients without treatment had the poorest survival rate (9.6 months and 0%). 64 initially unresectable patients underwent surgery after convertible therapy and had a median survival of 36.9 months and a five-year survival of 30%, which was better than that of unresectable patients who did not undergo surgery (18.2 months and 10%). By multivariate analysis, SLM, poorly differentiated primary tumor, number of liver metastases ≥ 4, size of largest liver metastases ≥ 5 cm, and no surgical treatment of liver metastases were found to be independent predictors of poor survival. Conclusions: Patients with CRLM could get long-term survival benefit from different types of therapy, and resection of resectable and initially unresectable liver metastases was the optimal strategy. The disease-free interval from primary to liver metastases, the differentiation of the primary tumor, the number and size of liver metastases and the types of therapy used to treat liver metastases were independent prognostic factors.