Abstract

The promotion of policies and initiatives that support job creation through entrepreneurship in developing countries is at the heart of the 2030 sustainable development goals (SDG) agenda, and, in particular, SDG 8 and 9. Yet, entrepreneurship remains an abstract concept difficult to define and comprehend, and the literature on entrepreneurship has been developed mostly in a developed country context. In the current global context, dominated by the dramatic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the relevant policies to be adopted by developing countries to face the socioeconomic consequences of the pandemic must be identified and analyzed. One of the main concerns of these policies is unemployment. The simultaneous supply and demand shocks caused by the pandemic have raised calls for an unprecedented level of public intervention in both developing and developed countries to prevent massive unemployment and chains of bankruptcies. The objective of this paper is to study the role of entrepreneurship in job preservation or job creation at the macroeconomic level. After reviewing different taxonomies of entrepreneurship and discussing motivations of entrepreneurs in a developing country context, the fundamental relationship between entrepreneurship, job creation, and macroeconomic performance in developing countries in both the pre- and post-COVID-19 contexts is analyzed. Using panel data for a sample of 24 countries members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) across the period 2009-2018, the paper demonstrates a U-shaped relationship between entrepreneurship and the level of economic development of nations, which translates into a negative correlation between economic growth and entrepreneurial dynamism for developing countries with per capita income below a certain limit. This proves that different phases of the economic cycle require different policies and promotion of entrepreneurship should therefore be adjusted to the economic conditions of each country.

Highlights

  • The promotion of policies and initiatives that support job creation through entrepreneurship in developing countries is at the heart of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) agenda, and, in particular, sustainable development goals (SDG) 8 and 9

  • Entrepreneurial activities in all sectors have been affected by the simultaneous supply and demand shocks caused by the pandemic, and the World Economic Forum (WEF) estimates, for example, that the pandemic has forced more than 70% of start-ups to terminate full-time employee contracts

  • Since 2004, the Global Competitiveness Report published by the World Economic Forum (WEF) ranks countries based on the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) developed by Xavier Sala-i-Martin and Elsa V

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Summary

Introduction

The promotion of policies and initiatives that support job creation through entrepreneurship in developing countries is at the heart of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) agenda, and, in particular, SDGs 8 and 9. The fourth section of the paper discusses some stylized facts on the macroeconomic issues related to entrepreneurial success in developing nations and develops an empirical model that is calibrated and tested on a balanced sample of 24 member countries of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) over the post-crisis period 2009-2018 to demonstrate the U-shaped relationship between national income and entrepreneurial levels This has an important consequence when looking at the macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 recession on both entrepreneurial activity and employment in developing nations, and this is discussed in sections 6 and 7 with a brief theoretical review of the main drivers of the relationship between wages and employment levels. The conclusion will propose some areas for further research and some candidate policy approaches worth considering given the research results presented in the previous sections

The Drivers of Entrepreneurship
Relationship between National Income and Entrepreneurship Levels
Quantitative Model and Empirical Results
What Are the Possible Impacts of Recession on Employment Levels and Wages?
The Difficult Timing of Policy Interventions
Findings
Conclusion
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