Abstract

The prediction of total ionospheric electron content (TEC) is of great significance for space weather monitoring and wireless communication. Recently, deep learning models have become increasingly popular in TEC prediction. However, these deep learning models usually contain a large number of hyperparameters. Finding the optimal hyperparameters (also known as hyperparameter optimization) is currently a great challenge, directly affecting the predictive performance of the deep learning models. The Beluga Whale Optimization (BWO) algorithm is a swarm intelligence optimization algorithm that can be used to optimize hyperparameters of deep learning models. However, it is easy to fall into local minima. This paper analyzed the drawbacks of BWO and proposed an improved BWO algorithm, named FAMBWO (Firefly Assisted Multi-strategy Beluga Whale Optimization). Our proposed FAMBWO was compared with 11 state-of-the-art swarm intelligence optimization algorithms on 30 benchmark functions, and the results showed that our improved algorithm had faster convergence speed and better solutions on almost all benchmark functions. Then we proposed an automated machine learning framework FAMBWO-MA-BiLSTM for TEC prediction, where MA-BiLSTM is for TEC prediction and FAMBWO for hyperparameters optimization. We compared it with grid search, random search, Bayesian optimization algorithm and beluga whale optimization algorithm. Results showed that the MA-BiLSTM model optimized by FAMBWO is significantly better than the MA-BiLSTM model optimized by grid search, random search, Bayesian optimization algorithm, and BWO.

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