Optimizing an airborne mass-balance methodology for accurate emission rate quantification of industrial facilities: A case study of industrial facilities in South Korea

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Accurate estimation of emissions from industrial point sources is crucial in understanding the effectiveness of reduction efforts and establishing reliable emission inventories. In this study, we employ an airborne Chemical Ionization Mass Spectrometry (CIMS) instrument to quantify sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions from prominent industrial facilities in South Korea, including power plants, a steel mill, and a petrochemical facility. Our analysis utilizes the box mass balance technique to derive SO2 emissions and associated uncertainty. We evaluate the interpolation methods between 2D kriging and 3D radial basis function. The results demonstrate that the total uncertainty of the box mass balance technique ranges from 5 % to 28 %, with an average of 20 %. Mixing ratio ground extrapolation from the lowest altitude of the airborne sampling to the ground emerges as the dominant source of uncertainty, followed by the determination of the boundary layer height. Adequate sampling at multiple altitudes is found to be essential in reducing the overall uncertainty by capturing the full extent of the plume. Furthermore, we assess the uncertainty of the single-height transect mass balance method commonly employed in previous studies. Our findings reveal an average precision of 47 % for this method, with the potential for overestimating emissions by up to 206 %. Samplings at fewer altitudes or with larger altitude gaps increase the risk of under-sampling and elevate method uncertainties. Therefore, this study provides a quantitative basis to evaluate previously airborne observational emission constraints.